Rising temperatures, changes in the amount of precipitation, and greenhouse gas emissions will make agricultural crops look completely different in 2030 than today.
Needless to say, it doesn’t work for anyone.
Scientists from the Goddard Institute and Columbia University in New York decided to see how galloping climate change will affect agriculture over the next ten years.
To this end, simulations of the impact of different greenhouse gas emission scenarios on the earth’s atmosphere were first analyzed. On their basis, models of climate change for the coming years were created. These models were then introduced as inputs to models simulating changes in agricultural crops and key crop yields on a global scale.
The effects turned out to be surprising even for researchers who prepared similar forecasts in 2014. It turns out that as early as 2030 it can be expected that, as long as wheat, we will collect up to 17 percent. more, the amount of corn will be as much as 1/4 less than it is now. Estimated global yields of other crops such as soybeans and rice also show a decline, but not as marked as for maize.
Maize is cultivated all over the world, with most of it being produced in countries closer to the equator: Central America, West Africa, Central Asia, Brazil, and China. And it is in these places that the crops will decline the fastest due to rising temperatures and decreasing precipitation.
Wheat is facing temporary growth that could last up to 2050. With the global increase in temperature, it will be able to be grown in higher and higher latitudes, where the temperate climate will expand.
The fact that such significant changes can occur in agriculture in just the next ten years makes it clear that our children and grandchildren will not struggle with the effects of climate change. In our lifetime, mankind will grapple with the consequences of our current neglect. However, as can be seen clearly even during the COP26 currently underway, as long as climate change does not bite us directly, we will only hear further declarations, plans, and promises, and we will not see any action. So far, we are doomed only to political blah, blah, blah.